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i've done some initial analysis of this

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new ufo footage and found some

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interesting things

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one the video does not show the object

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moving rapidly left and right

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or making any sudden moves the apparent

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rapid motions are all camera motion

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two it's not one continuous shot there's

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actually a six minute cut in the middle

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three there's no clear splash down it

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just shrinks away at or behind the

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horizon

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meaning it's miles away four it's maybe

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a large infrared layer around a smaller

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heat source

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let's break all that down number one

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the most significant thing is that

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there's no change in the left right

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motion

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no sudden moves i know it looks like

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it's flying left and then right

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but the key thing to look at is the

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motion relative to the ocean

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when the video has been stabilized try

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to ignore the crosshairs moving around

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look at the region of the ocean surface

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in the orange box

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it moves smoothly from right to left

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relative to the object which means the

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object has an apparent motion to the

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right which does not change

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if you script through the entire video

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stabilize you see this constant movement

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to the right

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the ocean surface seems to move left so

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the object seems to move right

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number two there are six minutes and 21

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seconds missing from the video

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i don't know if it was cut out or it was

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actually just two videos spliced

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together

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but you see that 27 seconds into the

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video the position of the object jumps

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much

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closer to the horizon and the on-screen

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time goes from 53 minutes and 19 seconds

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to 59 minutes and 40 seconds

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if you don't notice this cut you might

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think the object was dropping a lot

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quicker

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i suspect the missing six minutes are

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really boring just showing it continuing

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to descend

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really really slowly number three

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when the object vanishes you hear people

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in the video say it's splashed

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splashed meaning it landed or crashed in

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the ocean

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but remember this is at 11 at night very

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dark and the object seems to be miles

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away based on the extreme digital zoom

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so they are probably just looking at

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this infrared video the same thing that

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we see

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the object disappears from view right at

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the horizon it does not seem to be

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gradually obscured from the bottom up

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but rather it shrinks and vanishes and

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then grows back into view for a

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fraction of a second and then rapidly

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fades out again

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some of that is hard to see due to video

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compression but the shrinking seems

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fairly clear

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which brings us to number four

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this shrinking effect would happen if

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what we were looking at was an infrared

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glare

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black is hot here and a very hot object

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like a flare creates a glare around it

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which is a lot bigger than the actual

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flare

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if a solid object goes behind the

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horizon then you see it cut in half like

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this

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but if it's a glare then you would just

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see the glare shrink

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and grow as the smaller heat source is

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obscured and pops back into view and

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then it's obscured again

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possibly by waves right on the horizon

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one thing that seems very clear from all

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this is that there is zero indication

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that it's a

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trans-medium craft that is transitioning

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to flying underwater

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we just lose sight of it at the horizon

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so what are we looking at i initially

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thought a balloon

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simply because it seemed round and it

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was descending so slowly

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my number two hypothesis was a glare

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from a flare descending on a parachute

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and i move more towards that after

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looking at the shrinking that looks like

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obscuring by the horizon

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but this arrow here seems to indicate

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where north is and the wind would have

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been coming roughly from the north

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and the apparent motion of the object

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seems to be towards the north i.e

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against the wind

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so that seems to point more towards a

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powered craft

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but then if the object is far beyond the

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horizon then maybe this apparent motion

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is a bit of an illusion

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a combination of the motion of the ship

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the waves and the object

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with some of the apparent motion perhaps

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come from parallax

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it's hard to tell and it's unfortunate

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that yet again the best ufo videos that

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we get are these really poor quality

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low resolution videos so i don't know

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maybe a balloon or a parachute flare or

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maybe a distant helicopter maybe a drone

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maybe a chinese drone

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maybe a plane really far away maybe an

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alien spaceship doing some really boring

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flying

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more information will be very useful but

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what we have is not really super

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interesting

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something descends slowly towards the

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horizon as slow as a setting star